Hey.

A Good Idea is a good idea

So.

Like a lot of people I have tried  to understand what went wrong with the Clinton Campaign.

How did a sure fire thing consume itself so completely?

There were NO outside forces at work here, no ghosts or skeletons crawling out from under the bed of the Clinton Campaign.

It simply burst into flames- just like spontaneous human combustion, which is a weird and unexplainable event in it’s own right so I figure that analogy works here.

Anyway.

Here are the two things is what I came up with- the two big reasons I think the Clinton Campaign went wrong.

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bill Clinton.

It is that simple.

Really.

Obama in Eugene, Oregon

Obama in Bend Oregon

( go Bend! Some of my family used to live there! )

Sen. Barack Obama probably did not need to make a surprise appearance Friday at the Twilight Meet at the University of Oregon.

… But such is this moment for Obama that it seemed natural to indulge in a little affirmation. As his bus pulled up, he strode onto the handsome old track just as the women’s 5K was ending. A murmur went through the crowd, the public-address announcer confirmed his arrival, and the action came to a halt as 5,000 track fans rose as one to cheer the senator from Illinois who appears suddenly on the verge of claiming his party’s presidential nomination. The javelin hurlers dropped their equipment, and the 400-meter hurdlers paused in their warm-ups as a waving Obama made his way around one of the country’s most famous tracks bathed in late-afternoon sunlight — a victory lap.

“You guys are just so fast. I congratulate you,” Obama said as he reached the finish line, where the 5K runners still waited — as if the applause was for anyone but him.

… He is officially on guard against seeming overconfident, saying at every turn that he is still running hard against a tough primary opponent. His campaign is well aware that he faces the prospect of a thumping in the upcoming primaries in West Virginia and Kentucky.

Yet here, in a state where he is strongly favored to win, his stump speeches seem less like bids for votes than a chance for fans to see their hero and hear his pitch one last time before he moves on to the next stage. At an outdoor rally on the university campus after his visit to the track, Obama declared that the state’s May 20 vote could be the one that gives him a clear majority of pledged delegates.

And he adopted a retrospective tone, taking stock of the 15-month campaign that has brought him close to defeating a heavily favored former first lady backed by a powerful political machine. He expressed regret for having allowed his campaign to indulge in some of the tit-for-tats that he decries.

“There’ve been times where you get whacked so many times that after a time, you feel you have to whack back. You’ve got to go negative. You don’t want to look like a wimp,” he said. “The times . . . I’m most proud of is when we resisted the impulse, and the times that I’m least proud of is when we succumbed to that impulse.”

… But such challenges seem distant for Obama and the crowds turning out to see him. In Eugene, Dennis and Anastasia Sandow, Democrats in their 50s, lined up three hours early for a spot squeezed against a police barrier, with poor sightlines. But they had to be there, they said — not to decide whom to vote for next week, but to witness history.

 

Just in case your curious…here’s The Red State Update.

Their message is, ” For the love of God Democrats Pick One… we need to know who to vote against. “

 an SNL News Update

Obama rises from political obscurity to verge of history -

By CHARLES BABINGTON, Associated Press Writer

WASHINGTON - The amazement was on their faces. Hundreds waited for Barack Obama on that evening in South Carolina, 15 weeks ago, to claim victory — a surprising victory, surprisingly large.

And amazing it was. It made it possible for him to stand today on the verge of being the first black person ever nominated for president by a major party.

One could guess the thoughts of the blacks and whites in that crowd: Can you believe that our state — South Carolina, first to secede and first to open fire in the Civil War — is now catapulting a black man to the front of the presidential contest in a year that bodes well for Democrats?

“Race doesn’t matter,” some began to chant. “Race doesn’t matter!”

The cry soon gave way to more familiar chants of “Yes we can,” and everyone in the auditorium surely knew that race does still matter in so many ways. But in a pinch-me moment, they seemed to realize that a barrier had been broken with a swiftness and certainty that even they had not foreseen.

Even more astounding, the man vaulting ahead of the universally known former first lady, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, had been a state legislator only four years earlier — a lawyer with no fame, wealth or family connections.

Now, the entire nation and countless foreigners are absorbing a moment that had seemed decades away, if possible at all. Smart strategists and rank-and-file voters ponder how Obama rose so far so fast, and theories abound. Historians will sort it out someday, but Obama’s blend of oratory, biography, optimism and cool confidence come to mind most immediately.

It’s not just about him, of course. If America can seriously think of putting a black man in the White House, surely it must also profoundly rethink the relevance of race, the power of prejudice, the logic of affirmative action and other societal forces that have evolved slowly through the eras of Jim Crow, desegregation and massive immigration.

Maybe the toughest question is this:

Is Obama, with his incandescent smile and silky oratory, a once-in-a-century phenomenon who will blast open doors only to see them quickly close on less extraordinary blacks?

Or is he the lucky and well-timed beneficiary of racial dynamics that have changed faster than most people realized, a trend that presumably will soon yield more black governors, senators, mayors and council members?

Presidential campaigns have destroyed many bright and capable politicians. But there’s ample evidence that Obama is something special, a man who makes difficult tasks look easy, who seems to touch millions of diverse people with a message of hope that somehow doesn’t sound Pollyannaish.

Rep. Elijah Cummings, a black Maryland Democrat who endorsed Obama early, says the Illinois senator convinces people of all races that Americans as a society, and as individuals, can achieve higher goals if they try.

“He says we can do better, and his life is the epitome of doing better,” says Cummings, noting that Obama was raised by a single mother who sometimes relied on food stamps. “He convinces people that there’s a lot of good within them.”

And why should they believe such feel-good platitudes? “Because he’s real and he has confidence in his own competence,” Cummings says.

Without question, Obama is an electrifying speaker. At virtually every key juncture in his trajectory, he has used inspirational oratory to generate excitement, buy time to deal with crises, and force party activists to rethink their assumptions that a black man with an African name cannot seriously vie for the presidency.

A prime-time speech at the Democratic convention in Boston catapulted him to national attention in 2004. When his presidential campaign badly trailed Clinton’s high-flying operation, he gave it new life with a timely Iowa speech that outshone her remarks moments earlier on the same stage. And a heavily covered March 18 speech about race relations calmed criticisms about his ties to his former pastor, although Obama had to revisit the matter when the minister restated incendiary remarks about the government.

Obama has a compelling biography, too. The son of a black African father he barely knew, and a white Kansan mother who took him from Hawaii to Indonesia, he was largely raised by his white maternal grandparents. He finished near the top of his Harvard law class, then rejected big firms’ salaries to work as a community organizer in Southside Chicago, where he found a church, his wife and a place that felt like home.

But all those attributes don’t explain the Obama phenomenon.

Other great orators have fallen short of the presidency, including Daniel Webster and William Jennings Bryan.

Plenty of brilliant people have tried and failed, too. Bill Bradley was a Princeton graduate, basketball star and Rhodes Scholar.

Intriguing biographies aren’t enough, either. John Glenn was an astronaut and American hero, but he couldn’t get off the presidential launchpad.

Jim Margolis, a veteran campaign strategist now working for Obama, thinks it is his blend of all these traits, wrapped in “authenticity,” which makes Obama’s message of hope and inclusion seem plausible, not pie in the sky.

Margolis interviewed many of Obama’s Harvard classmates for TV ads and documentaries. They told him Obama “was wise beyond his years, and never talked down to people,” Margolis said.

“He has this amazing ability to connect with people and understand their problems,” he said. “And through it all, there is this optimism.”

For a politician with only four years of experience at the federal level, Obama also has spot-on instincts, associates say, and a steely confidence in his convictions, in good times and bad. His roughest patch came after Clinton revived her campaign with wins in Ohio and Pennsylvania, and a renewed uproar over Obama’s former pastor threatened to consume his campaign.

Obama rejected advice to criticize Clinton more fiercely, and went back to his themes of political and racial reconciliation. His solid win in North Carolina and near miss in Indiana confirmed his judgment.

Obama and his small core of longtime advisers also outsmarted the vaunted Clinton team by focusing early on small caucus states, where he racked up important wins. His fundraising has been nothing short of astounding, with millions of dollars pouring in via the Internet from people who never gave a politician a dime.

Obama fans often search for words to express their attraction.

“He just really electrifies you when you are listening to him,” said Lena Bradley, 78, a beauty salon owner in Washington. “He has something that’s leading him.”

As ephemeral as “something that’s leading him” sounds, it’s hard to explain in more clinical terms his impact on people. But it’s there.

As recently as June 2006, a lone reporter could travel with Obama in cars and small planes as he campaigned for other Democrats in state after state. On one such visit to Massachusetts and New Jersey, his charm was on full display before crowds of various size, age and ethnic makeup. He made teenagers guffaw by saying people pronounced his name “Yo Mama.” He quoted scripture in a black church, and set every head nodding.

On a plane ride he talked with the reporter for an hour, on the record, with barely a hint of the nervousness or hedging that most politicians understandably display to someone with a pen, pad and tape recorder.

Before an audience of 300 people in East Orange, N.J., Obama spotted local resident and famous singer Dionne Warwick. He smiled impishly and sang, “If you see me walking down the street,” the opening line of her hit, “Walk on By.” The crowd roared its approval of his on-key ad lib.

Some veteran politicians also see “something that’s leading” Obama, whether they can explain it or not.

Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., a longtime friend and supporter, said “nothing was ever the same” after Obama’s Boston speech.

Durbin recalls pulling Obama into a vacant meeting room in Chicago’s Union League Club, where both had spoken on a Friday afternoon in November 2006. He felt it was time for his young colleague to decide whether to run for the White House.

“There are moments in life when you can pick the time,” Durbin said he told Obama. “But when it comes to running for president, the time can pick you. You’ve been picked. This is your moment.”

A short time later, Obama launched his candidacy.

 

Superdelegates continue to trickle in for Barack Obama, and John Edwards says Clinton probably can’t win. Polls continue to favor Clinton heavily in the next two primaries. But observers increasingly wonder, what’s the point? Lacking inertia, Clinton dips two-tenths of a point to 2.1 percent.

::More from Slate

HERE

Union, 3 Superdelegates Endorse Obama

May 9, 2008

Superdelagates That Have Endorsed Obama

Hawaii Congresswoman Mazie Hirono announced her support for Barack Obama today, citing his ability to unite the Democratic Party and bring about real change:

Today I announce my endorsement of Senator Barack Obama for President of the United States. I do so after watching these historic campaigns unfold across our country, where hundreds of thousands of people participated as never before. It is clear that Americans want our country back on a course of hope and opportunity.

I make my announcement with deep respect and admiration for Hillary Clinton. She is an extraordinary woman. However, it is time to unite the party behind Senator Obama and to use our energy and resources to defeat Senator John McCain. Barack Obama can unite our Party and our country and bring about the positive changes Americans want.

Of course, all of us are especially proud of Senator Obama’s deep roots here in our state, and overwhelmingly embraced his candidacy in our recent caucus. His love for Hawaii and understanding of its diversity have given him a foundation for understanding the diversity of our country. I am proud to endorse Senator Obama and I look forward to a winning campaign.

The New Mexico Independent has just announced:

Laurie Weahkee, New Mexico’s newest — and most coveted — super delegate, just threw her support behind Obama.

“After the primary elections in Indiana and North Carolina, it is now absolutely clear that Barack Obama will be our nominee,” Weahkee, lead organizer for the Native American Voters Alliance, writes in a statement e-mailed to the Independent. She adds, “Obama has proven that he can campaign in a difficult environment and still inspire thousands of new voices to take part in the democratic process.”- You can read the full interview with Weahkee in which she explains how she decided to endorse Barack. 

Today, Wilber Lee Jeffcoat, the Democratic Party Vice Chair in South Carolina and Democratic superdelegate endorsed Barack Obama. In endorsing Barack, Jeffcoat explained:

Barack Obama inspired thousands of new voters in my state of South Carolina to get involved in our democratic process and I am proud to announce my endorsement today. With Barack Obama as our nominee, we can bring more and more new voters out to become involved and have their voices heard. Obama has worked his whole life to unite people from all backgrounds and walks of life for change, he has done that in this campaign and he will continue to do that as President. I am excited to join his campaign today.

Chicago, IL – Today, California DNC Member and superdelegate Ed Espinoza endorsed Barack Obama, citing his judgment, character, and ability to unite our country for change. 

Espinoza is the 268th superdelegate to endorse Barack Obama. Obama is 163 delegates away from securing the Democratic nomination. 

Espinoza said, “I am endorsing Barack Obama today because throughout this process I have seen him show a judgment and character that we need in our next president.  From day one he opposed the Iraq war and has a plan to end the war in a responsible way and bring our sons and daughters home.  He has shown he has the character to lead our great nation, from his choice to spend his career serving people in the poorest communities in Chicago to his commitment to speaking truth to the American people, even when it isn’t politically convenient to do so. To unify the country at this time in our history we need a president who has these qualities, and that is why I am proud to endorse him today. My good friend Bill Richardson, who backed Obama some weeks ago, knows what it takes to lead and I trust his judgment in this decision as well.  I look forward to working with this great movement to bring victory in November.”

The Washington Post | May 09, 2008

By Debbi Wilgoren

Sen. Barack Obama picked up an endorsement Friday morning from the union representing federal employees — and the personal support of its president, a superdelegate to this summer’s Democratic convention.

Two Democratic lawmakers also announced they would cast their votes as superdelegates for Obama, further solidifying his lead over New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in the battle to become the Democratic presidential nominee.

“Senator Obama has proven he is able to energize young Americans, independents and even moderate Republicans to support his candidacy,” Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.) said in a statement. “I believe he represents our best hope of winning in November.”

In New Jersey, Rep. Donald M. Payne told the Newark Star-Ledger he was switching his support from Clinton to Obama. The congressman told the newspaper his decision was extremely difficult and said he had been “mulling it over for quite a while.”

 
Read the full article from The Washington Post

 

:::From Yes We Can Has!

---

Rep Rick Larsen of Washington state did what the Representative whose district I live in did not do-

Rick stood with the Constituency of his district and endorsed Barack Obama for President.

Rep Jay Inslee did not.

Way to go Rick.

a.m.

Rep. Rick Larsen endorses Barack Obama for president

By MATTHEW DALY
ASSOCIATED PRESS WRITER

WASHINGTON — Rep. Rick Larsen said Thursday that he is endorsing Barack Obama for president.

Larsen, a four-term Democrat who represents Everett, Bellingham and other areas north of Seattle, said Obama was “the best candidate to turn our best hopes for a better future into reality.”

Obama’s performance this week in primaries in North Carolina and Indiana show “he can take a pounding and come back strong to deliver his message of hope and change. He is tough as nails,” Larsen said.

Larsen joins at least four other Washington “superdelegates” who have endorsed the Illinois senator: Gov. Chris Gregoire; Reps. Adam Smith and Brian Baird, his state chairman; and Pat Notter, a member of the Democratic National Committee.

Hillary Clinton has the support of five of the state’s superdelegates, including Sens. Patty Murray and Maria Cantwell, Reps. Norm Dicks and Jay Inslee, and King County Executive Ron Sims.

Rep. Jim McDermott remains uncommitted.

Nun of the Franciscan Sisters of Mary comments on Voter ID disenfranchisement

WHO: Missourians for Fair Elections

WHAT: Press Conference on the impact of legislation to
require government-issued photo ID to vote

WHEN: 1:00 PM, Thursday, May 8, 2008

WHERE: League of Women Voters, 8706 Manchester, Jefferson City, MO 63144

JEFFERSON CITY, MO – On Thursday, May 8, three Missouri voters who
lack government-issued photo IDs as well as Secretary of State Robin
Carnahan and community leaders will discuss the potential impacts of
legislation currently being pushed through the Missouri General
Assembly. The proposed legislation would make Missouri one of the
toughest states in the country for eligible citizens who want to vote
by requiring voters to present a government-issued photo ID at the
polls. If passed, these changes could be in place by the November
general election and could put the voting rights at risk for up to
240,000 registered Missouri voters.

“This may sound like a good idea at first,” stated Sister Sandy
Schwartz of the Franciscan Sisters of Mary regarding voter ID
requirements, “but once you stop to think about who would really be
affected, this is going to keep a lot of our loved ones from being
able to vote.” Yesterday in Indiana twelve nuns in their 80s and 90s
were turned away from the polls because they lacked the needed IDs to
vote. Sister Schwartz and others are concerned about the difficulties
the policy change would create for elderly Missouri nuns, as well as
other senior citizens, the poor, and minorities.